Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.064246 0.068990 0.073932 0.079468 0.085504 0.091894 0.099179
2025-12-07 0.053745 0.060477 0.067887 0.076677 0.086856 0.098312 0.112243
2025-12-14 0.045874 0.053527 0.062324 0.073246 0.086521 0.102239 0.122409
2025-12-21 0.041022 0.049319 0.059206 0.071958 0.088116 0.108100 0.134993
2025-12-28 0.038264 0.047223 0.058242 0.072947 0.092286 0.117181 0.152186
2026-01-04 0.035869 0.045282 0.057183 0.073547 0.095795 0.125480 0.168927
2026-01-11 0.033383 0.042972 0.055388 0.072910 0.097439 0.131227 0.182493
2026-01-18 0.031386 0.041124 0.054009 0.072635 0.099425 0.137446 0.197138
2026-01-25 0.029313 0.039008 0.052084 0.071393 0.099844 0.141322 0.208495
2026-02-01 0.027231 0.036736 0.049773 0.069391 0.098930 0.143050 0.216545
2026-02-08 0.025464 0.034791 0.047787 0.067691 0.098278 0.145028 0.225040
2026-02-15 0.023953 0.033118 0.046079 0.066264 0.097890 0.147305 0.234114
2026-02-22 0.023094 0.032363 0.045693 0.066854 0.100757 0.155099 0.253522
2026-03-01 0.021651 0.030679 0.043842 0.065072 0.099723 0.156466 0.261926
2026-03-08 0.020103 0.028760 0.041536 0.062427 0.097086 0.154926 0.264922
2026-03-15 0.019091 0.027598 0.040316 0.061430 0.097092 0.157857 0.276410
2026-03-22 0.018597 0.027197 0.040245 0.062275 0.100245 0.166498 0.299602
2026-03-29 0.018060 0.026699 0.039987 0.062783 0.102830 0.174307 0.322008
2026-04-05 0.017335 0.025869 0.039151 0.062259 0.103541 0.178709 0.337987
2026-04-12 0.016722 0.025187 0.038518 0.062033 0.104754 0.184120 0.356626
2026-04-19 0.015986 0.024274 0.037460 0.061003 0.104411 0.186499 0.369008
2026-04-26 0.015173 0.023202 0.036088 0.059342 0.102776 0.186204 0.375456
2026-05-03 0.014457 0.022260 0.034894 0.057930 0.101512 0.186538 0.383329